日本保守派政治家高市早苗贏得自民黨總裁選舉，成為該黨的第一位女性總裁，也很可能將成為日本首位女性首相。有分析人士擔心，其強硬外交立場或將激化與中國及韓國的關係。

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近年來，日本社會在安全保障、歷史認知、對外政策等領域呈現出明顯的右傾化傾向。隨着國際局勢的緊張、國內經濟增長乏力和人口老齡化問題的加劇，日本選民愈發傾向於支持強調“國家安全”“自主防衛”“傳統價值”的保守政治力量，高市早苗正是在這樣的背景下崛起。繼參議院選舉後，自民黨總裁候選人相繼在選戰中拿外國人說事，要求“嚴控外國人”，而高市早苗屬於這方面的急先鋒。在社交媒體的任意性輿論導向橫行的今天，言論的偏激性、煽動性比真實性和公平性更能迎合大眾的口味，而高市早苗以鮮明的保守立場、強硬的言辭、維護大和民族傳統、以偏蓋全的排外言論及主張修憲的政治姿態贏得了黨內保守勢力及部分民眾的支持。

齋藤指出三點擔憂：①“政治與金錢”的問題及加強對企業、團體捐款的監管；②歷史認識與靖國參拜；③與外國人的共生。他表示：“許多支持者對此感到不安，如果這些問題得不到解決，就無法繼續聯合執政。”

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高市表示：「日本應當重新審視那些允許擁有完全不同文化和背景的人進入本國的政策。」小泉補充說：「外國人的非法就業以及治安惡化，正在引發當地居民的不安。」

在自民黨的黨首競選中，高市和小泉都試圖吸引那些被參政黨「反外國人」論調打動的選民——無論這些外國人是移民還是大量的遊客。

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這表明日本社會的“內向化”正在加深。疫情後，外來人口的增加和外國遊客大量來日使一部分日本人感到一種自身資源正在被“剝奪”危機感和難以言說的壓力，民族認同感強化，輿論中排外情緒有所上升，“日本人第一”的口號引起普遍共鳴。在這種氛圍下，高市早苗“守護日本”的政治口號契合了部分選民的心理訴求。

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